SURF ALERT Larger Surf Forecast This Weekend

Da Buh`s Surf Forecast – http://www.dabuh.com

PLEASE READ AND CONSIDER A PERSONAL NOTE AT THE END OF TODAY’S UPDATE

Morning everyone, looks like the call for SURF ALERT conditions in our last update has started this morning for NE Florida and should work it’s way down the Coast throughout the day. Local legend Terry Deloach was reporting early, Jax Bch Pier, waist to chest and glassy and Narley Charlie was calling Smyrna 3-5 with full on SURF ALERT conditions. Swell looks to hold into the waist plus range until Thursday before ramping up over the weekend with the possibility of seas reaching small craft advisories and Double Digit status in the offshore waters by Saturday. Very active outlook setting up so here goes.

Here’s a live look at this mornings IR Sat image. Low pressure over the N Central U.S. will move East dragging the next front East along with it with Low pressure over N Central Texas sliding up the Eastern Seaboard. After some much needed rain for NE Florida over the last several days chances for precipitation into next week are looking good.

2012-05-08_074437

 

Here’s the latest look at the GFS starting you off on Friday. There is consensus within the models so confidence is high at the moment. Front moves through on Thursday NE Florida and Central Florida South on Friday. High pressure building in behind the front with NE winds starting off 15-20 kts.

GFSFri 

On Saturday the gradient tightens just a tad and winds look to hold NE 20 kts for much of the East Florida Coast. Take note of Low pressure in the Eastern Atlantic next several frames that could set up P.R. and the V.I with solid swell next week. Unclear at the moment.

GFSSat

Saturday afternoon winds ramping up to NE 20-25 kts with along NE Fetch setting up.

GFSSatpm 

Then on Sunday High pressure moves East off the Mid-Atlantic and winds rotate to the East and back down a bit into the 10-15 kt range. Notice we still have a tight pressure gradient between High pressure and the near stationary Low in the Eastern Atlantic. This SHOULD have produced a swell train by this time frame sending it to the islands.

GFSSun

On Monday is where things will be monitored closely as low pressure may try and setup over in the Western GOMEX. Previous model runs was showing a Gulf low developing but has since backed off but as you can see in the latest run Western GOMEX showing a wide area of lower pressure.

GFSMon

What they are now trending towards is for another Low off the NE Florida Coast on Tuesday.

GFSTues

So here’s the call. Fun Surf conditions should prevail over the next couple of days with larger surf and NE conditions ramping up for the weekend. Possible SURF ALERT conditions again to start next week but need a few days to see how it will all start to play out but it’s looking like a consistent run of surf coming up. Stay tuned for the next update. As always forecast will and does change.

 

PERSONAL NOTE:

We are in the process of making some major changes here at Dabuh.com. We are  striving to bring you the best and latest surf forecast and will soon be adding daily surf photo updates from around the state. I have no formal training in meteorology or oceanography and everything I’ve learned has come from countless hours of research on the Internet. I was previously in the construction industry and when the recession hit, it hit me square in the head. Like so many others, I lost everything. And when I say everything, I mean everything. I have been a stay at home dad for the last four years and this to has changed. Many of you who follow me on Facebook know I now provide care for my 82 year old mother who is not in the best of health. This has turned into a full time job but am honored to do so and it’s the right thing to do. I have no paid sponsors and have made zero dollars since starting this site. I have a web master, who up until this point has done everything for me from the kindness of his heart. He has been an integral part of the ongoing growth to this website. With that said, we are in desperate need of your help. I have never asked for a handout and am embarrassed to actually have to write this. I have been a hard worker all my life. Please show your support by making a donation to help keep this site going by using the pay pal button located at the top right side of the page. If you own your own business, please consider advertising with us. Will be happy to share our site statistics with you so you can see our exponential growth.

Thanks for taking the time to read this and your help will be greatly appreciated.